Fantasy Breakdown: Patriots vs Jets

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The Pats just need a win over the Jets at home this week to end the year on a high note and seal up home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Let's get into the final fantasy breakdown of the regular season!

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Tom Brady delivered 224 yards and a pair of scores last week against the Bills, albeit with an ugly interception on the side. However, the Pats really pulled away with the running game--a strategy New England will likely employ once again this week. Add in the fact that Brady could sit out some of the second half (assuming the Pats have a lead), and he's a more risky play than usual this week. However, if you've gotten to the championship with Brady at the helm, you might as well ride him again this week. He should produce perfectly passable numbers even if he only sees limited action. The Jets will likely roll with Bryce Petty under center after Josh McCown's season-ending injury last week. Needless to say, you shouldn't start him under any circumstances.

Tom Brady: 18 points
256 passing yards (10 points), 2 passing TDs (8 points)

Bryce Petty: 3 points
183 passing yards (7 points), 2 INTs (-4 points)

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Rex Burkhead and Mike Gillislee are both out with injuries and James White is questionable. That means Dion Lewis should see nearly all the rushing work in this one. He's a strong RB2 in all formats, with slight added boost in PPR leagues. For the Jets, Bilal Powell is coming off a monster 19/145/1 game against the Chargers. While that volume is a bit unrealistic to expect against the Pats (he didn't play in the first matchup between the two teams), he's a decent flex and even maybe an RB2 in deep leagues--after all, without McCown it's not like the Jets have any semblance of a passing game to rely on.

Dion Lewis: 18 points
98 rushing yards (9 points), 5 receptions, 31 receiving yards (3 points), 1 rushing TD (6 points)

Bilal Powell: 13 points
75 rushing yards (7 points), 1 rushing TD (6 points)

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Chris Hogan is questionable this week, but even if he plays he's probably not going to be a major factor (especially if Brady sits for part of the contest). Brandin Cooks laid an absolute egg last week, and Danny Amendola, Philip Dorsett and Kenny Britt don't get enough targets to make them relevant. It's hard to trust any of these guys, though Cooks is probably your best bet based on the volume of snaps he plays. Factoring in the uncertainty at QB, I'd keep him as a flex. The Jets' Robby Anderson is a bona fide young talent, but the Petty Effect tanks his fantasy stock. He's another flex based on his talent and target share, but I'd be wary about relying on him in a championship game.

Brandin Cooks: 11 points
4 receptions, 54 receiving yards (5 points), 1 receiving TD (6 points)

Robby Anderson: 6 points
5 receptions, 64 receiving yards (6 points)

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Gronk had an extremely successful game last week and is on track to play this week (he missed a day of practice earlier in the week with an illness). Without question, you should start him. Austin Serferian-Jenkins is doubtful, meaning the tight end duties will likely fall to the combination of backups Eric Tomlinson and Neal Sterling. Not starting material in any league, period.

Rob Gronkowski: 14 points
6 receptions, 85 receiving yards (8 points), 1 receiving TD (6 points)

D/STs and Kickers

There's no telling how bad Bryce Petty could be this week, making the Patriots D/ST an attractive fantasy option. Without a capable offense on the other side of the field, they'll have a high floor with the added potential for multiple turnovers. If they're available as a last-minute streaming option, I'd recommend picking them up. The Jets defense is a completely different animal, considering they're facing one of the best offenses in the NFL and they've got nothing left to play for besides pride. Don't start them. Stephen Gostkowski is still as reliable a kicker as there is, and this week he should have plenty of work. Keep him in the lineup. Jets kicker Chandler Catanzaro has gone an impressive 23-for-27 this year, but there will be precious few opportunities for him on Sunday. He's probably best off on the bench.

That's it for this fantasy breakdown. Enjoy the last Sunday of the 2017 regular season, and Go Pats!

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