|Is Brady a better bet than the Broncos?|
It's possible their winning streak has a lot to do with their schedule. They played their three toughest games of the season (at Atlanta, home vs. Houston, and at New England) all within the first 5 weeks, and they lost every time. If Denver had matched up against any of these squads recently, we might have a much different outlook on the Broncos. To me it seems very difficult to buy into a team being the favorite if they went 0-3 against their stiffest competition, regardless of when the games happened.
Meanwhile the Patriots (7/2 to win the title) went 2-1 against the 3 best teams they played, beating Denver and Houston, and losing to San Francisco. Imagine if the Pats had finished off their miraculous comeback against the 49ers? They'd be the #1 seed, have a 10 game winning streak of their own, and be the heavy favorites. Or if a single play had gone differently in any one of their 3 early season losses (by a total of 4 points), New England would also be the top seed with the best odds.
Follow Mark on twitter @LucidSportsFan
Mark Vandeusen is a guest writer for Patriots Life and a regular contributing writer to CelticsLife.com.