John’s Well Educated Guesses: Pats vs Chiefs – Recap
That was a doozy. Classic Tom Brady game. Never a doubt in my mind even when the defense looked like it was from 2009. Let's dive right in.
Prediction: Patriots score on first possession – I think this is going to be a shootout and this is a tough prediction. However, I don’t make easy ones. Pats are gonna come right out the shoot and want to make a statement and I think they do just that.
Result: Wrong. I think I actually picked the only possession in the first half that they did not score. Big L for your boy. That being said, they looked to be moving the ball effectively and the ground game showed signs of things to come. I don’t have much respect for the KC defense after that performance. They looked like the Patriots defense from years past.
Prediction: Kelce gets shut down – After Eric Ebron looked like a Hall of Famer, I think the Pats choose to not let Kelce beat them. He will get jammed and doubled a lot. Let’s say under 76 yards and no tuddy for me to be right. I think the Pats would take that all day.
Result: This one is a winner for me. 9 targets, 5 catches and 61 yards. He was chipped and doubled all day. He was targeted on the Harmon interception before the half, and I think on the Hightower interception too. If the Pats want to take a guy away, they do it. It probably hurt them elsewhere as Kareem Hunt and Tyreek Hill hurt them deep, but they were not going to let Kelce beat them.
Prediction: Both Quarterbacks go over 300 yards – Like I said, I think this will get pretty wild.
Result: Patrick Mahomes threw for 353 and Brady threw for 340. I guess its pretty wild when both teams hang 40. Are the offenses that good, or are the defenses just that bad?
Prediction: Pats Win 38-30– I like that the Pats are home and most really big games they show up for. I think they take Kelce out of the game and force the Chiefs to beat them elsewhere. Tom Brady moves the ball all day long on a bad pass defense, and the AFC gets way more interesting.
Result: I was at least right about the shoot-out potential. Who could have seen 43-40 though?
As for the Chiefs moving forward? I’m not too worried about them. I respect them and they are good, but I just don’t see them upending the Pats when it matters. They got two broken plays over 70 yards for tuddies, the most embarrassing Tom Brady fumble that I can remember and a 97 yard kick-off return….and they still lost. That defense is swiss cheese and not built for the playoffs. Now the Pats are within striking distance and hold the tie-breaker. The AFC sure did just get way more interesting.