Much has been made of the deterioration of the Patriot's offense over the course of this off-season. There's no arguing that Brady has significantly less weapons to work with in the passing game. So how significantly will this affect his numbers?
OVER/UNDER: 30 Touchdowns (Regular Season)
Prediction- Over (32 Touchdowns): The last season Brady failed to reach the 30 touchdown mark was 2009, when he finished with 28 touchdowns and 13 picks. Last year, he connected on 34 scores and was the leader of one of the league's best offenses.
Since becoming the starting QB in 2001, Brady has averaged just over 30 touchdowns per season (30.36), not including 2008 when he threw just 11 passes before suffering a season ending knee injury. That being said, this year Brady will be faced with a diminished crew of pass-catchers on the offense.
I am confident Brady will exceed 30 touchdowns this year, but I don't see him getting any higher than 32, as the offense will likely rely on the running game more in all situations, including the goal line. Gronk, who has been Brady's go-to red zone target when healthy, will likely miss the first six games of the season, which will surely be reflected in Brady's TD figures.
What do you guys think? Over? Under? Even? Vote in the poll below and let us know why at @PatriotsLife